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ATS Killers

Model Updates

A concise public history of model reviews, research, and live changes.

Forward changes. Unchanged history.

Model changes apply only to upcoming decisions; monitoring improvements apply to new observations. Past picks and saved results stay unchanged. Research and monitoring do not themselves change prediction rules; a scheduled update is not yet confirmed live.

Update history

51 updates · Newest first · Dates in UTC

  1. Model update

    Scheduledmlb

    MLB model-review records

    Scheduled more precise tracking of the model versions behind pitcher-prop calculations. Forecasts and saved results remain unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  2. Model update

    Schedulednfl

    NFL opportunity-history checks

    Scheduled additional player-history checks for NFL props, including incomplete data and dependence on position averages. Existing results remain unchanged.

    • NFL Player Props

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  3. Model update

    Scheduledmlb

    MLB strikeout price selection

    Scheduled a correction to MLB strikeout quote selection so qualifying prices are considered before alternatives are discarded. Forecast calculations and saved results remain unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  4. Model update

    Schedulednfl

    NFL price comparison

    Scheduled a refinement to how qualified NFL selections are compared at their saved sportsbook prices. Forecast probabilities and existing results remain unchanged.

    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  5. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL schedule processing

    Improved NFL schedule processing and verified that saved picks and results remain unchanged. This update concerns pipeline efficiency, not model recalibration.

    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  6. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL capture continuity

    Corrected handling of incomplete player-availability data so unavailable players remain excluded without interrupting unrelated result processing. Saved picks, prices and model selection rules remain unchanged.

    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  7. Data quality

    Monitoringmlb

    MLB publication continuity

    Updated publication checks so earlier missed decisions stay unchanged without blocking newer eligible forecasts. Selection rules and historical results remain unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks

    Under review · No live model change.

  8. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL result synchronization

    Improved checks for delayed NFL prop results and retained the original evidence needed to grade them. Frozen picks, prices and stakes remain unchanged. This update concerns result tracking, not a model recalibration.

    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  9. Data quality

    Monitoringmlbnfl

    Clearer pick cards and result checks

    Connected saved NFL estimates to pick cards, added short explanations for pricing terms, and improved checks for delayed results. Updated MLB market-source compatibility. Original picks and prices stay fixed; unresolved source conflicts remain under review.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  10. Data quality

    Monitoringmlb

    Consistent MLB pregame timing

    Aligned pregame timing checks around the same captured schedule. Upcoming games awaiting evaluation stay distinct from missing decisions. Picks, prices and completed records are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  11. Data quality

    Monitoringmlb

    MLB pregame input checks

    Reviewed schedule matching shared by game and prop inputs, including differences between provider start times. Original selections and prices remain unchanged. Upcoming decisions still require complete player and market evidence.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  12. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL rolling values refreshed

    Verified an automatic NFL value refresh and matching player and team views. Original picks and results are unchanged. Predictive performance remains under review.

    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  13. Data quality

    Monitoringmlbnfl

    Clearer completed results

    Completed pick cards now show actual results, model returns and grading times. Original selections and prices remain unchanged. We are checking remaining delayed settlements.

    • MLB game and prop results
    • NFL game and prop results

    Under review · No live model change.

  14. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL value freshness and history

    Refreshed NFL value data through Week 3 and improved how dated values are matched to upcoming games. Earlier prediction inputs remain preserved. Automatic postgame refresh verification is still in progress.

    • NFL team values
    • NFL player values

    Under review · No live model change.

  15. Data quality

    Monitoringmlb

    Postseason prediction delivery

    Verified a new MLB game assessment and strikeout selection after postseason data repairs. Saved decisions remain unchanged; broader reliability work continues.

    • MLB game picks
    • MLB player props

    Under review · No live model change.

  16. Data quality

    Monitoringmlb

    Postseason input coverage

    Restored completed postseason games to rolling team and player inputs and corrected game-worker model packaging. New inputs have been verified; live decision delivery remains under review. Missed historical selections are not recreated.

    • MLB game picks
    • MLB player props

    Under review · No live model change.

  17. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    Player availability safeguards

    Prepared improved isolation of incomplete player evidence and prospective quarterback availability checks. Release verification remains open; saved selections and results are unchanged.

    • NFL game picks
    • NFL player props

    Under review · No live model change.

  18. Model review

    Monitoringmlb

    MLB pipeline reliability

    Corrected model-input packaging for the game worker and reduced unnecessary startup work in prop decision sweeps. Full-slate delivery verification remains open; missed historical selections are not recreated.

    • MLB game picks
    • MLB props

    Under review · No live model change.

  19. Data quality

    Livenfl

    NFL prop result handling

    Improved settlement of receiving props using verified final-game and player-participation evidence. Saved selections and model calculations are unchanged.

    • NFL receiving props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  20. Data quality

    Monitoringmlbnfl

    MLB and NFL settlement review

    Investigating missed MLB decision windows and two unresolved NFL player results. Recaps require verified settlements; past picks and results remain unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Player Props
    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.

  21. Data quality

    Livemlbnfl

    Clearer MLB and NFL decision status

    Shared decision-status displays are deployed for Dashboard and matchups. NFL saved-pick checks passed; live MLB readiness verification is still pending. Prediction rules and saved results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • NFL Game Picks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  22. Data quality

    Livenfl

    Restoring NFL pick visibility

    NFL matchup pages now retain available picks when another market has multiple missing-input reasons. Original predictions, prices and selection rules are unchanged.

    • NFL Game Picks
    • NFL Player Props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  23. Data quality

    Livemlb

    Preserving MLB archive history

    MLB archive processing now retains the original matchup evidence when later schedule updates arrive. Published decisions and results are preserved; model selection rules are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  24. Data quality

    Livemlb

    Stronger MLB recap checks

    Updated the recap worker and added package-level regression checks. Historical picks and results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Player Props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  25. Data quality

    Livemlb

    Clearer MLB pregame status

    Improved doubleheader matching, clearer explanations when required inputs are missing, and automatic matchup refresh. Historical picks and results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  26. Model review

    Monitoringmlbnfl

    Team and player value freshness review

    Reviewed NFL rolling-history coverage and the separation between dated player values and saved predictions. A value-display refresh gap remains under review. Prediction methods and historical results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game and Prop Picks
    • NFL Game and Prop Picks

    Under review · No live model change.

  27. Data quality

    Livemlbnfl

    Matchup views and open Pick tracking

    NFL selections now open a dedicated matchup view. Dashboard Picks stay accessible until grading, with clearer MLB and NFL navigation. Prediction methods and historical results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game and Prop Picks
    • NFL Game and Prop Picks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  28. Data quality

    Livemlbnfl

    Prediction processing reliability

    Corrected MLB game-input handoffs and NFL player-prop timing checks. Saved predictions and results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Predictions
    • NFL Player Props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  29. Model update

    Scheduledmlb

    MLB pitcher-prop selection refinement

    Updated how qualified MLB pitcher props are ranked for the September 25 slate onward. Eligibility checks, existing Picks and historical results are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  30. Data quality

    Livemlb

    More reliable MLB prop processing

    Improved game-time prop processing and reduced unproductive recovery retries. Original Picks, forecasts and historical results are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  31. Data quality

    Livemlbnfl

    Prop data delivery and postgame comparisons

    Improved NFL prop-market intake and overdue MLB grade recovery. Settled MLB strikeout Picks now compare saved forecasts with actual results. Original selections and forecasts are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Props
    • NFL Player Props

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  32. Data quality

    Livemlb

    More context behind MLB strikeout Picks

    Member dashboard strikeout Picks now include saved workload estimates, uncertainty and the captured price. Original selections, forecasts and grades are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  33. Data quality

    Livemlbnfl

    Recovered MLB prop grades and clearer reviews

    Five delayed MLB strikeout Picks now show their final grades. We repaired record and publication compatibility and improved NFL recap explanations. Original selections and previously graded results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks
    • NFL Game Spreads
    • NFL Passing Yards
    • NFL Rushing Yards
    • NFL Receiving Yards
    • NFL Receptions

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  34. Model update

    Livemlbnfl

    Clearer pick reviews and automatic NFL recaps

    NFL pick details now show saved pregame estimates and result reviews. Recaps follow the MLB layout and publish after eligible slates settle. Record displays are corrected; past results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks
    • NFL Game Spreads
    • NFL Passing Yards
    • NFL Rushing Yards
    • NFL Receiving Yards
    • NFL Receptions

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  35. Model update

    Livemlbnfl

    Unified MLB and NFL Archives

    MLB and NFL now share one Archive design, including filters and pick details. NFL final scores are visible; recorded results are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks
    • NFL Game Spreads
    • NFL Passing Yards
    • NFL Rushing Yards
    • NFL Receiving Yards
    • NFL Receptions

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  36. Model update

    Livemlbnfl

    Live records across MLB and NFL

    Home now shows combined results and separate game and prop records for all nine released models, refreshed automatically. Earlier public recaps have been retired for a clean start.

    • MLB Game Picks
    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks
    • NFL Game Spreads
    • NFL Passing Yards
    • NFL Rushing Yards
    • NFL Receiving Yards
    • NFL Receptions

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  37. Model update

    Livenfl

    NFL game and prop picks activated

    NFL spreads and four player-prop categories are enabled for upcoming games. Picks require current prices and eligible player data. Results are tracked prospectively; performance is not yet established.

    • NFL Game Spreads
    • NFL Passing Yards
    • NFL Rushing Yards
    • NFL Receptions
    • NFL Receiving Yards

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  38. Model update

    Scheduledmlb

    Pitcher-prop recalibration scheduled

    Separate probability adjustments and updated selection rules are scheduled for strikeouts, outs and walks from September 22. Picks remain price- and evidence-dependent. Live performance is not yet established.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  39. Data quality

    Monitoringnfl

    NFL research-clock recovery verified

    Isolated unavailable matchups so they no longer stop research processing for other games. Normal clock operation is verified; upcoming-game capture remains under monitoring. Prediction eligibility safeguards are unchanged.

    • NFL game and prop evidence

    Under review · No live model change.

  40. Research

    Researchmlbnfl

    Expanded prop audit and NFL evidence review

    Expanded our MLB prop audit and identified an NFL data-collection issue affecting upcoming-game evidence. Prediction eligibility safeguards remain unchanged; these findings do not establish improved accuracy.

    • MLB pitcher props
    • NFL game and prop evidence

    Research only · No live model change.

  41. Research

    Researchmlbnfl

    New calibration, workload and timing findings

    Reviewed MLB pitcher-prop calibration, workload and market timing, plus NFL reception forecasts. Research priorities were refined; existing prediction safeguards remain unchanged.

    • MLB pitcher props
    • NFL receptions

    Research only · No live model change.

  42. Research

    Researchnfl

    NFL market-response models evaluated

    Tested whether recent performance and changing market expectations improve NFL predictions. Findings remain inconclusive; no new betting recommendations were activated.

    • NFL Game Predictions

    Research only · No live model change.

  43. Data quality

    Researchmlbnfl

    Player-workload evidence checks expanded

    Expanded MLB workload research and added NFL statistic consistency diagnostics. Prediction rules and historical records are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Props
    • NFL Player Props

    Research only · No live model change.

  44. Research

    Researchmlbnfl

    Seasonal and player-workload research expanded

    Expanded MLB and NFL research into seasonal patterns and player workload. Prediction rules and historical records are unchanged.

    • MLB Game Predictions
    • MLB Pitcher Props
    • NFL Game Predictions
    • NFL Player Props

    Research only · No live model change.

  45. Model review

    Monitoringmlb

    Pitcher-prop workload reviews strengthened

    Added workload checks to ongoing pitcher-prop reviews, including saved forecasts that were not selected as Picks. Prediction rules and historical records are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Under review · No live model change.

  46. Model review

    Monitoringmlb

    Pitcher-prop forecast review expanded

    Expanded pitcher-prop reviews to connect saved forecasts with their exact decisions and available results. Prediction rules and historical records are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Under review · No live model change.

  47. Data quality

    Livemlb

    Pitcher-prop coverage checks improved

    Improved handling of unavailable pitcher-outs and walks evidence for upcoming games. Selection rules and saved results are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  48. Model review

    Active monitoringmlb

    Pitcher-prop monitoring expanded

    Expanded ongoing monitoring of pitcher-prop forecasts and input quality. Prediction rules and historical results are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Effective from · New observations only.

  49. Data quality

    Livemlb

    Pitcher-prop input checks strengthened

    Strengthened pitcher-prop input checks and corrected uncertainty handling for newly generated predictions. Previous picks and saved results remain unchanged. These safeguards do not establish improved forecast accuracy.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks

    Effective from · Upcoming decisions only.

  50. Model update

    Scheduledmlb

    Pitcher prop calibration review

    New pitcher strikeout and pitcher-outs selections are scheduled to pause starting with September 18 Chicago slates while calibration is reviewed. Previous picks will settle as usual and their history stays unchanged. Game and walks selection policies are unchanged.

    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs

    Planned for · Not confirmed live.

  51. Model review

    Monitoringmlbnfl

    Model review underway

    A structured review of MLB game and player-prop models and NFL research readiness has begun. This is monitoring only; no prediction-model changes or NFL promotion are announced.

    • MLB Games
    • MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
    • MLB Pitcher Outs
    • MLB Pitcher Walks
    • NFL Games
    • NFL Player Props

    Under review · No live model change.