Start with the pitcher’s workload
Recent performance, projected batters faced, opponent lineup context, starter status, and uncertainty shape the distribution—not a single season-average shortcut.
A separate model lane for a different kind of market
ATS Killers evaluates pitcher strikeout markets with player-specific projections, matchup context, and multi-book pricing—without blending prop performance into the game-pick record.
Pitcher strikeouts are live. Additional MLB prop families are being tested independently.
What you get
Recent performance, projected batters faced, opponent lineup context, starter status, and uncertainty shape the distribution—not a single season-average shortcut.
Over and Under probabilities are measured against the retained line and price. A strong projection at the wrong number can still become a Skip.
Player-prop Picks, Skips, settlements, units, and ROI remain separate from MLB game picks, with a combined view available only when both records verify.
The operating loop
Every lane follows a defined path from source data to a saved decision and an accountable result. Research can challenge the process; it cannot edit yesterday.
Starter identity, opponent, and expected role are bound.
Projection, uncertainty, and matchup context are calculated.
The exact line and available price determine the decision.
The prop receipt settles in its own public record.
Keep exploring
Straight answers
ATS Killers publishes calculated sports predictions and research. It does not guarantee outcomes, operate a sportsbook, or rewrite historical decisions.
Pitcher strikeout decisions are the current live prop lane. Other prop families remain clearly labeled research until their capture, decision, and settlement lifecycles are ready.
The model combines a pitcher-specific outcome distribution with opponent context, expected workload, uncertainty, and the exact sportsbook line and price.
No. Player props keep a separate decision ledger and record. The Results page can combine verified lanes without hiding how either one performed.
One membership. Every live model.